Understanding Market Psychology
Timing trades correctly separates elite fantasy managers from casual players. The best opportunities arise during periods of player volatility – after injury scares, poor shooting stretches, or role changes.
Buy-Low Opportunities
Buy-low opportunities typically emerge after 3-4 game stretches of poor performance from otherwise reliable players. Target players with established track records who are experiencing temporary struggles. Avoid players whose poor performance stems from reduced roles or injury concerns.
Sell-High Windows
Sell-high windows occur when role players have unsustainable hot streaks or when established players exceed their typical production levels. The key is identifying when performance is likely to regress to mean rather than represent a new baseline.
Schedule-Based Trading
Consider playoff schedules when making trades during the season’s second half. Players on teams with favorable playoff schedules become more valuable, while those facing difficult stretches during your league’s championship weeks lose value.
Author’s Opinion: The best trades happen when other managers are emotional about recent performance. Stay objective and focus on opportunity factors rather than short-term statistical fluctuations.